| YORK |
30 May 2008 |
Going:
Good/Firm |
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| 14:10 Class 3 Conditions Stakes 7f (-5) |
S/S Index 8.10 - 8.50 |
DIAMOND TYCOON : B.J.Meehan......A.Munro:- Lightly raced four year old Johannesburg colt, the winner of Class 4 Newbury 8f. maiden on his 2007 debut, beating Lucarno by six lengths at odds of 8/1. Subsequently not unsupported when five and three quarters of a length ninth of twenty four to Cockney Rebel in Group 1 Newmarket 2000 Guineas. (15/2.). Unraced after this event (Injury ?), returning 2008 with two appearances, the latest recording a three and a quarter lengths second of eight to Appalachian Trail in Listed Haydock 7f. Stakes May 10th. BETTER THAN CLASS 3 LEVEL. Negatives:- Previous lengthy absence. Distance index = 7f. (Turf.)*** Stable form = 30% win and placed. (Last 14 days.). PERFECT PROFILE.
CELTIC SULTAN : T.P.Tate......M.Fenton:- Four year old Celtic Swing colt, the winner of Class 2 Newmarket 7f. handicap early October 2007, beating Sir Xaar by one length at odds of 10/1, returning 2008 to record a career best form level when successful on debut in Class 2 Chester 8f. handicap May 9th. beating Extraterrestial by a neck at odds of 7/1. FAVOURABLY HANDICAPPED COLT AT THE PRIME AGE OF FOUR YEARS. Negatives:- Vulnerable front runner. Stable form = 40% win and placed. (Last 14 days.).
| 14:45 Class 3 Maiden Stakes 2yo 5f (-6) |
S/S Index 7.50 - 7.90 |
VIVA RONALDO : R.A.Fahey.......P.Hanagan:- £33,000 Xaar colt, half brother to a winner over extreme distances (3yo+), out of a dam herself successful over 8-10f. (3yo.). One run to date for this juvenile in Class 2 Chester 5f. maiden May 8th., finishing a promising two and a half lengths second of nine to Rebecca de Winter at odds of 20/1. WITH AVERAGE IMPROVEMENT THIS COLT CAN CLAIM A FORM LEVEL WELL IN EXCESS OF THAT NEEDED TO BE SUCCESSFUL HERE. Negatives:- Nil. Distance index = 6f.+ (Turf.). Stable form = 43% win and placed. (Last 14 days.).
BEES RIVER : T.D.Easterby......D.Allan:- 41,000 euros Acclamation filly, half sister to a number of three year old winners over 5-7f., out of a dam credited with placed form only over 7f. (3yo), but half sister to fair sprinter Notley. One run to date for this filly in Class 5 Nottingham 5f. maiden May 17th., finishing two and a quarter lengths third of eleven to Master Noverre at odds of 8/1. POSITIVE INDEXES ALSO ON GOOD GROUND. Negatives:- Basic form level and stable strike rate below average. Distance index = 6f. (Turf.). Stable form = 24% win and placed. (Last 14 days.).
THUNDEROUS MOOD : P.F.I.Cole......J.Egan:- $575,000 Storm Cat colt, full brother to high class 7f. winner Royal Tigress (3yo.), also half brother to top 5/6f. juvenile Warm Heart. Dam unbeaten as an older thoroughbred over 5-8f. in the USA. This colt a beaten favourite on his racecourse debut May 25th. (Class 4 Newmarket 5f. maiden.), finishing a respectable one length third of eight to Saucy Brown at odds of 6/4 off a pedestrian early pace which was a major negative. SOLID INDEXES FOR BOTH GOOD/FIRM AND GOOD GROUND. Negatives:- Nil. Distance index = 5f.+ (Turf.). Stable form = 31% win and placed. (Last 14 days.).
| 15:20 Class 3 H'cap 10.5f (0) |
S/S Index 9.20 - 9.60 |
HUMBLE OPINION : B.J.Meehan......A.Munro:- Six year old Singspiel gelding, unraced in 2007, with a Class 3 Haydock 8f. handicap success to his credit in 2006, his two runs this season promising a return to form, the latest May 4th. in Class 2 Newmarket 9f. handicap when seven and a quarter lengths fifth of fifteen to Proponent at odds of 8/1. UNEXPOSED FOR HIS AGE AND WILL BE PLACED TO WIN A DECENT HANDICAP AT THIS LEVEL. Negatives:- Previous absence (Injury ?). Distance index = 10.5f. (Turf.)*** Stable form = 30% win and placed. (Last 14 days.). PERFECT PROFILE.
| 15:55 Class 4 H'cap 5f (-6) |
S/S Index 7.60 - 8.00 |
DESERTED DANE : G.A.Swinbank......K.McEvoy:- Four year old Elusive Quality colt, the winner of Class 4 Carlisle 5f. handicap late June 2007, beating First Order by one length at odds of 20/1. Consistent for the most part subsequently, returning 2008 with two runs, the latest recording a five and three quarters of a length third of ten to Jilly Why in Class 4 Thirsk 5f.handicap May 17th. when 15/8 Fav. LIGHTLY RACED AND ABOVE AVERAGE IMPROVEMENT EXPECTED IN HIS FOURTH YEAR. Negatives:- Nil. Distance index = 8f. (Turf.). Stable form = 30% win and placed. (Last 14 days.).
| 16:35 Class 4 Maiden Auction Stakes 2yo 6f (-5) |
S/S Index 7.80 - 8.20 |
WHATYOUWOODWISHFOR : R.A.Fahey......P.Hanagan:- $80,000 colt by Forestry (Son of Storm Cat.), the second foal of a dam high class over 8f. in the USA, herself half sister to a juvenile winner over 6f., also in the USA. Totally unsupported on his racecourse debut May 15th. (Class 3 York 6f. maiden.), finishing a considerate nine and a half lengths fifth of ten to Lord Shanakill. ABOVE AVERAGE IMPROVEMENT EXPECTED TODAY. Negatives:- Basic form level. (See previous comment.). Distance index = 6f. (Turf.). Stable form = 43% win and placed. (Last 14 days.).
NOTE:- ALL commented runners positive for the forecast Good/Firm ground.
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