Race Card

ASCOT

25 July 2008

Going: Good/Firm

14:10 Class 3 Fillies Maiden 2yo 6f (+3))

S/S Index 7.80 - 8.20

F/Cast S.P.	Runner	Sire Index (Going)	D/Sire Index (Going)	S/S Index (Distance)	Draw	Age	Form Level	Result
2/1	Acquiesced	-7	+6	10.32	0	+	-2	2nd 11/8F
4/1	Kapsiliat	+7	-3	8.90	0	+	?	UPL
6/1	LITTLE CALLA	0	+7	8.05	0	+	?	NR
8/1	Good Again	+9	-12	8.36	0	+	-6	1st 7/2

LITTLE CALLA : E.A.L.Dunlop......S.Sanders:- Racecourse debut today for this 145,000 euros Indian Ridge filly, the first foal of a dam high class over 7/8f. as a three year old, and half sister to a number of very useful performers over 7f. (2/3 yo's.). THIS IS THE IDEAL JUVENILE PEDIGREE FOR 6F.ON GOOD/FIRM GROUND. Negatives:- Inexperience. Distance index = 6f. (Turf.)*** Stable form = 37% win and placed. (Last 14 days.). PERFECT PROFILE.

Note:- This maiden usually won by a juvenile rated 90+. Form levels in the above analysis are adjusted to allow for average improvement which still leaves the main contenders with something to find on that basis. Under these circumstances, runners making their debut deserve special attention, especially at decent odds.

14:45 Class 3 Maiden Stakes 2yo 7f (+31)

S/S Index 8.70 - 9.10

F/Cast S.P.	Runner	Sire Index (Going)	D/Sire Index (Going)	S/S Index (Distance)	Draw	Age	Form Level	Result
2/1	DERBAAS	+16	+11	8.97	0	+	-2	1st 2/1F
4/1	Tilos Gem	+5	+3	8.58	0	+	?	UPL
5/1	Aurorian	-4	0	9.76	0	+	?	NR
6/1	Almiqdaad	-5	-1	9.89	0	+	?	4th 4/1
8/1	Summers Target	-3	+11	7.66	0	+	?	2nd 10/1

DERBAAS : E.A.L.Dunlop......J.Fortune:- Seeking The Gold colt, half brother to a three year old winner over 8f., out of a dam successful over sprint distances in the USA, and a full sister to Group class miler Aljabr. One run to date for this colt July 9th. in Class 2 Newmarket 7f. maiden finishing one length fourth of eleven to Soul City at the extreme odds of 33/1. IDEAL TRIP - IDEAL GROUND. Negatives:- Again, allowing for average improvement, marginally short of the average form rating needed to win at this level and only cramped odds available. Distance index = 7f. (Turf.).*** Stable form = 37% win and placed. (Last 14 days.). PERFECT PROFILE.

15:20 Class 1 Listed Stakes F & M 8f (+12)

S/S Index 8.30 - 8.70

F/Cast S.P.	Runner	Sire Index (Going)	D/Sire Index (Going)	S/S Index (Distance)	Draw	Age	Form Level	Result
2/1	BARSHIBA	+2	+5	8.92	0	+	+7	2nd 15/8JF
4/1	Baharah	+14	-2	8.74	0	+	+10	1st 15/8JF
5/1	FESTIVALE	+7	+2	8.55	0	+	-3	NR
6/1	Shaker	-3	+7	8.26	0	+	-9	4th 6/1
8/1	Kasumi	-6	+3	7.70	0	0	-5	3rd 9/2

BARSHIBA : D.R.C.Elsworth......T.Quinn:- Four year old filly by Barathea, the winner of two races in 2007 (Class 5 Lingfield 8f. Polytrack maiden / Class 1 Ascot Listed 8f. handicap.), returning 2008 at Group 1/2/3 level, her latest effort recording a career best form level July 12th. when three quarters of a length second of seven to Archipenko in Group 2 Ascot 8f. Summer Mile Stakes at the extreme odds of 50/1. TALENTED BUT UNPREDICTABLE FILLY. Negatives:- Difficult to settle in her races and inconsistent on occasion. Distance index = 9f. (Turf.). Stable form = 35% win and placed. (Last 14 days.).

FESTIVALE : J.L.Dunlop......R.Moore:- 170,000gns. Invincible Spirit filly, half sister to a juvenile winner over 6f. (France.), out of a dam who won over extended distances, also in France, herself half sister to a winner over 7f. (2yo.). This filly very lightly raced, with three appearances only 2007/2008, successful on her latest run June 18th. in Ascot 8f. Listed handicap, beating Illusion by a neck at odds of 10/1. LIGHTLY RACED WITH THE POSSIBILITY OF SUBSTANTIAL IMPROVEMENT OVER HER IDEAL TRIP AND ON HER FAVOURED FAST GROUND. Negatives:- Needs to improve again. (See previous comment.). Stable form also below average. Distance index = 8f. (Turf.)*** Stable form = 23% win and placed. (Last 14 days.). PERFECT PROFILE.

15:55 Class 2 H'cap 16f (+35)

S/S Index 9.80 - 10.20

F/Cast S.P.	Runner	Sire Index (Going)	D/Sire Index (Going)	S/S Index (Distance)	Draw	Age	Form Level	Result
5/2	COLLOQUIAL	+28	0	9.92	0	0	+2	3rd 3/1
4/1	Wicked Daze	-2	+9	10.83	0	0	-5	1st 2/1F
5/1	Caracciola	-1	-5	10.12	0	0	+2	UPL
6/1	Greenwich Meantime	+11	+9	9.35	0	0	+2	2nd 4/1
8/1	Enjoy The Moment	-2	-7	11.22	0	0	-1	4th 15/2

COLLOQUIAL : H.Candy......F.Sweeney:- Lightly raced visored seven year old gelding by Classic Cliche, the winner of Class 2 Haydock 16f. handicap early June 2007 (Five races .), returning 2008 with two appearances only, the latest recording a career best form level May 31st., finishing a nose second of ten to Gee Dee Nen in Class 2 Haydock 16f. handicap when 4/1 Fav. IDEAL CONDITIONS TODAY FOR THIS GELDING. Negatives:- Nil. Distance index = 16f. (Turf.).*** Stable form = 47% win and placed. (Last 14 days.). PERFECT PROFILE.

17:05 Class 4 H'cap 8f (+12)

S/S Index 8.30 - 8.70

F/Cast S.P.	Runner	Sire Index (Going)	D/Sire Index (Going)	S/S Index (Distance)	Draw	Age	Form Level	Result
2/1	Nightjar	+6	-14	8.25	0	+	+	4th 7/2
4/1	RED SOMERSET	+3	+22	8.78	0	0	+1	1st 5/2F
6/1	Musical Beat	-7	+1	9.62	0	+	+1	NR
8/1	Summer Dance	+12	0	6.98	0	+	0	UPL

RED SOMERSET : R.J.Hodges......M.C.Geran (5):- Five year old Red Ransom gelding, the winner of two races in 2007 (Class 5 Leicester 8f. handicap / Class 4 Nottingham 8f. handicap.), and consistent with one exception in 2008, his latest run recording a form level not far removed from a career best when a short head second of sixteen to Yamal in Class 4 Bath 8f. handicap July 17th. at odds of 12/1. A REPEAT OF THAT RUN WOULD SEE HIM COMPETITIVE HERE. Negatives:- Stable form below average. Distance index = 9f. (Turf.). Stable form = 38% placed runners only. (Last 14 days.).

NOTE:- ALL commented runners positive for the forecast Good/Firm ground.

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16:30 Class 2 H'cap 10f (+12)

S/S Index 9.10 - 9.50

F/Cast S.P.	Runner	Sire Index (Going)	D/Sire Index (Going)	S/S Index (Distance)	Draw	Age	Form Level	Result
2/1	KING'S EVENT	+7	+11	9.50	0	+	+1	3rd 9/4
4/1	Press The Button	+4	-2	8.99	0	0	+1	4th 8/1
6/1	William Blake	0	0	9.41	0	+	0	2nd 5/1
7/1	Buccellati	-1	-3	9.04	0	+	0	1st 2/1F
8/1	Sahrati	-2	+6	10.63	0	+	0	UPL

KING'S EVENT : Sir M.Stoute......R.Moore:- Seasonal debut today for this lightly raced four year old Dynaformer colt, the winner of Class 5 Windsor 8f. maiden late August 2007, beating Rhyming Slang by two and a half lengths when 4/5 Fav. Improved runs subsequently, his last run October 27th. in Class 2 Newbury 10f. handicap, finishing three and three quarters of a length third of fourteen to Heaven Knows when 100/30JF. THIS IS HIS IDEAL TRIP AND FAIRLY HANDICAPPED ON THAT LAST 2007 RUN. Negatives:- Query absence. Distance index = 10f. (Turf.)*** Stable form = 32% win and placed. (Last 14 days.). PERFECT PROFILE.